Does the IMF Influence Fiscal and Monetary Policy?

نویسنده

  • Axel Dreher
چکیده

In theory, the IMF could influence fiscal and monetary policy via several channels, among them advice to policy makers, conditionality, and moral hazard it induces with the borrowers. This paper tries to disentangle those effects empirically. Using panel data for 98 countries over the period 1975-2000 it analyzes whether IMF involvement indeed influences fiscal and monetary policy in program countries. There is evidence that participation in IMF Standbyand Extended Fund Facility arrangements improves economic policy. Money disbursed and the degree to which a program is implemented does not have any systematic influence. The same is true for future availability of resources as measured by exhaustion of a country’s quota with the Fund. The final section discusses policy implications.

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تاریخ انتشار 2005